Event attendance classification in social media

De Lira V. M., Macdonald C., Ounis I., Perego R., Renso C., Cesario Times V.

Management Science and Operations Research  Event attendance prediction  Computer Science Applications  Classification  Library and Information Sciences  Media Technology  Information Systems  Social media analysis 

Popular events are well reflected on social media, where people share their feelings and discuss their experiences. In this paper, we investigate the novel problem of exploiting the content of non-geotagged posts on social media to infer the users' attendance of large events in three temporal periods: before, during and after an event. We detail the features used to train event attendance classifiers and report on experiments conducted on data from two large music festivals in the UK, namely the VFestival and Creamfields events. Our classifiers attain very high accuracy with the highest result observed for the Creamfields festival ( similar to 91% accuracy at classifying users that will participate in the event). We study the most informative features for the tasks addressed and the generalization of the learned models across different events. Finally, we discuss an illustrative application of the methodology in the field of transportation.

Source: Information processing & management 56 (2019): 687–703. doi:10.1016/j.ipm.2018.11.001

Publisher: Pergamon,, New York , Regno Unito

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