Comparing the ability of different remotely sensed evapotranspiration products in enhancing hydrological model performance and reducing prediction uncertainty

Taia S., Scozzari A., Erraioui L., Kili M., Mridekh A., Haida S., Chao J., El Mansouri B.

SWAT model  Sufi2  Calibration  Uncertainty  Actual evapotranspiration  Global datasets  High Atlas 

The mitigation of uncertainties in the identification of natural systems is a fundamental aspect in the development of hydrological models, and represents a major challenge for the improvement of modelling techniques. In particular, the calibration of hydrological models based on streamflow measurements at the outlet of a catchment is exposed to significant sources of uncertainty, such as the impact of landscape features on runoff generation. Remote sensing-based actual evapotranspiration (AET) data can be incorporated with streamflow to improve model accuracy and reduce the uncertainty in hydrological modelling, resulting in a significant enhancement of the model performance. The selection of the right AET dataset for hydrological modelling is a crucial task, in front of the availability of multi-source datasets that differ in methods, parameters, and spatiotemporal resolution. Despite the existence of a few studies proposing the usage of remote sensing-based AET data, there is a lack of systematic comparisons between different products, in terms of performance for hydrological modelling. This paper aims to compare the efficacy of different remote sensing-based AET products in improving the simulation of hydrological responses, both in single and in multi-variable scenarios. In this investigation, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model was calibrated with observed streamflow data by experimenting with eight different AET datasets. The findings of our study suggest that the incorporation of remote sensing-based AET data in the calibration process of a hydrological model can significantly enhance the accuracy and reliability of model predictions. Thus, the proposed approach can contribute to improving the effectiveness of hydrological modelling as a quantitative tool for the management of water resources. Another finding of this study is that the calibration of the model based solely on AET yields reasonable simulation results of the streamflow, which is an advantageous and promising feature for ungauged basins.

Source: Ecological informatics (Print) 78 (2023). doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2023.102352

Publisher: Elsevier, Amsterdam , Paesi Bassi

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